Odds on 2016’s Big Political Decisions in Michigan

A lot of races, many candidates, a few polls, tons of speculation — but what are the ODDS on what will happen in coming days, weeks and months in Campaign 2016, particularly as it relates to Michigan? Here is The Ballenger Report’s morning line:

Odds Hillary Clinton will win Democratic Presidential Nomination: 1-10

Odds on Clinton’s Choice to be Vice President: Tim Kaine, 3-2; Amy Klobuchar, 5-1; Elizabeth Warren, 8-1; Julian Castro or Thomas Perez, both 15-1; Rest of Field, 20-1

Odds Donald Trump will win Republican Presidential Nomination: 3-10

Odds on Trump’s Choice to be Vice President: Mike Pence, 2-1; Mary Fallin, 3-1; Chris Christie or New Gingrich, both 5-1; Rest of Field: 10-1

Odds Clinton (D) will carry Michigan: 5-7

Odds Trump (R) will carry Michigan: 2-1

Odds Gary Johnson (L) will carry Michigan: 33-1

Odds Jill Stein (Green) will carry Michigan: 500-1

Odds on Michigan’s U.S. House Representatives Delegation Remaining 9R/5D: 4-5

Odds Michigan Democrats Will Gain at least One U.S. House Seat: 5-4.

Odds Republicans Will Maintain Control of Michigan House of Representatives: 2-3

Odds Democrats Will Gain Control of Michigan House of Representatives: 2-1

Odds Democrats & Republicans Will Wind Up in a “Shared Power” 55-55 tie in the
Michigan House of Representatives: 10-1

Odds Republicans will Retain 5-2 Majority on Michigan Supreme Court: 1-2

Odds Democrats will Gain One Seat on Michigan Supreme Court: 7-1

Odds Democrats will Gain Two Seats & Outright Control of Supreme Court: 20-1

Odds on Democrats Sweeping all Eight Seats on Statewide Ballot for U-M Board of Regents, MSU Board of Trustees, Wayne State University Board of Governors & State Board of Education: Even

Odds on Republicans Winning at least One Seat of the Eight, from any one of the Four Boards: 5-1

Odds on Democrats Winning a Majority of the Eight Ed Board Seats: 2-3

Odds on Republicans Winning a Majority of the Eight Ed Board Seats: 10-1

Odds on a 4-4 R/D Tie in the Eight Board Races (it’s never happened!): 100-1

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