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You are here: Home / Uncategorized / CAMPAIGN 2024: WHAT HAPPENED IN MICHIGAN?

CAMPAIGN 2024: WHAT HAPPENED IN MICHIGAN?

November 10, 2024 by tbreport 27 Comments

TRUMP’S GOP UBER ALLES

Question: What were the main statistical factors evident in the Nov. 5 election results in Michigan?

Answer: TBR pretty much nailed the national outcome, explaining why in our last article (11/3) before the election.

Here in Michigan, Republicans turned out while Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents stayed home. In total, 77,913 Democrats did not vote in the General Election when we compare the turnout to 2020. Another 38,822 independent voters who are friendly to Democrats also did not turn out –- for a total of 116,735 Democrat or Democrat-leaning voters who chose not to participate this past Tuesday, according to numbers compiled by Ed SARPOLUS, of Target Insyght.

A hefty 44,503 voters in Wayne Co. didn’t show up, and participation in the City of Detroit was down. By comparison, an additional 172,249 Republicans participated in 2024 when compared with 2020.

The result? Vice President Kamala HARRIS lost the state of Michigan by 82,930 votes to now President-elect Donald TRUMP. That’s a little over 1%, about half the margin by which Trump lost the 2020 election to Joe Biden in Michigan.

Another big shift was the  the margin of victory Democrats had among women voters. It dropped. When President Joe BIDEN was elected in 2020, he won with women voters by 14%. In 2024, Harris won with women by only 9%, according to pollster Steve MITCHELL, of Mitchell Research and Communications,

Mitchell observes that Harris also saw a drop-off among younger voters. In 2020, Biden won the 18-29 age group by a margin of 61% to 37% over Trump.  In 2024, Harris and Trump tied in this age group at 49%.

The Arab-American community also shifted to Trump.  Back in 2020, Biden won Arab-American voters in the City of Dearborn by a more than 3-1 margin margin over Trump. In 2024, Trump gained a plurality in Dearborn, with Harris runner-up, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein winning a chunk. Specifically, in Dearborn Trump won with 42.5%, Harris got 36.3; and Jill Stein garnered 18.4%. Joe Biden carried Dearborn Heights with 69% of the vote in 2020. By contrast, Harris got only a plurality with 38%, while Trump got 32% and Stein 15%. In 2020, in Hamtramck, Harris won 44% but that was down from Biden’s 85% four years ago. Trump got 42.7% and Stein 9%.

Trump won 74 of 83 counties, but that was about the same number as he won in both 2016 and 2020. What was different this year is that the margins were bigger in most counties.

$287 million was spent in Michigan on the presidential race ($174 million by Harris, $116.4 by Trump). Trump/Vance visited Michigan a combined 26 times; Harris/Walz 19 times. President Joe Biden visited three times before dropping out. The 47 total presidential candidate visits this year were more than 2016 and 2020 combined.

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Question: Besides Trump’s victory, what was the biggest achievement by Michigan Republicans in this year’s election?

Answer: The fact that Michigan was the ONLY state in the entire country to flip partisan control of a single chamber in a  state Legislature. House Republicans surged to either a 58-52 or 57-53 majority (bungled ballot-counting in Calhoun Co. notwithstanding) despite being outspent by Democrats more than 3-1. Noteworthy also was the key win by Republican Tom Barrett in the open 7th U.S. House District, which is being vacated by Democrat Elissa Slotkin. That reverses the 7-6 advantage Democrats have had for the past two years in the state’s Congressional delegation; it will now be 7-6 majority Republican. That had and will have repercussions in the tenuous balance of power in the U.S. House in Washington, D.C.

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Question: Of the three eastern/mid-western “Blue Wall” states that were the primary focus of the presidential campaigns as well as the electorate, which one produced the biggest jump in support for Trump?

Answer: Surprisingly, Michigan. Of the three Blue Wall states that Trump won in 2016, lost in 2020, and won again in 2024, Wisconsin was up 1.5% from 2020, Pennsylvania was up 3.1% and Michigan was up 4.2%.

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Question: What was the turnout in Michigan, and did it break any records?

Answer: Yes, turnout set all-time records. Turnout in Michigan was highest ever in raw numbers  — 5,666,805. Percentage turnout (78.1%) was a record, too — the highest since the State of Michigan started recording these numbers in 1948, and probably the highest percentage since universal suffrage (men AND women) began in 1920. Turnout this year was 87,488 higher than in 2020. Some 2.2 million voted absentee, 1.2 million early in-person, and 2 million on the 11/5 election day itself.

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Question: Michigan has more offices on the ballot of any state in presidential election years — over 11,000 are up for grabs. That includes President, a U.S. Senator, and 13 members of the U.S. House on down to 110 seats in the state House of Representatives, two Supreme Court justices, nearly 200 other judgeships, eight state education/university board seats, over 600 countywide offices, more than 600 county commissioners, about 6,500 township officials, some 1,500 K-12 school board members, hundreds of community college trustees, and scores of road commissioners and library board members. Anything else?

Answer: Yes, says the MIRS newsletter  — $1.9 billion in local bonding and property tax measures were on the ballot. $1.56 billion worth of those proposals passed, while $421 million failed. The big winners were:

* Ambulance and  emergency medical services — 22 such proposals on various local ballots scattered throughout the state passed;

* School bonding — 77% passed out of 97 proposals;

* Roads, streets and sidewalks — 85% passed out of 77;

* Fire Departments — 93% out of 64 passed;

* Libraries — 96% of 24 passed (only one failed).

The losers included cannabis expansion— only 38% out of 13 in various locales passed; local government support— only 43% passed; and jail rehabilitation or expansion — 2/3 failed.

Interestingly, there were NO proposals on the statewide ballot this year, the first time that has happened since 2016, which was the first time Donald Trump was on the Michigan general election ballot.

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Question: Were there any bright spots for Democrats on an otherwise bleak night?

Answer: Yes. U.S. Rep. Elissa Slotkin ran ahead of Kamala Harris in Michigan and eked out a narrow victory by less than 1% (some 18,000 votes) in her intense, expensive battle with Republican nominee Mike Rogers. This was the closest U.S. Senate race in Michigan history, going back to when these solons were first elected by direct vote in 1916. Slotkin’s winning margin was barely better than the margin by which John Engler upset Jim Blanchard for governor in 1990. Slotkin got 48.6% of the vote, the first time an elected Michigan U.S. Senator did not get a majority.

Democrats also padded their majority on the Michigan Supreme Court to 5-2 by electing incumbent Kyra Bolden to the unexpired portion of her predecessor’s term and also winning the open seat with Kimberly Thomas, who succeeds a retiring Republican justice, David Viviano. TBR predicted this result months ago.

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Question: How about the three major university boards and the state Board of Education?

Answer: This is where Republicans played stupid. They might have had a clean sweep by winning all eight of the seats up for grabs on the state Board of Education, the University of Michigan Board of Regents, the Michigan State University Board of Trustees, and the Wayne State University Board of Governors.  Instead, it looks like they won only six of the eight for a simple reason — at their fall convention, Republicans  failed to renominate incumbent Dan Kelly for the MSU panel, and they spurned multi-millionaire incumbent Ron Weiser, a former state party chairman, for the U-M board. Both would have won this year. Instead, as predicted by TBR three months ago, incumbent Democrat Denise Illitch was able to edge into second place for a U-M Regent spot, and Rebecca Bahar-Cook edged an unknown Republican nominee for the MSU board. This was political malpractice by the GOP, plain and simple.

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Question: A decisive win at the top of the ticket usually results in some gains for the winning party on Boards of Commissioners in Michigan’s 83 counties. Did it this year?

Answer: Yes, but not as many as we might think because of the close margin by which Trump beat Harris in Michigan (about 1%). Republicans netted 22 more seats, flipped five boards and won a majority in two more. Democrats flipped one panel, according to election numbers gathered by MIRS. 

As a result of the election, Republicans won 465 seats, Democrats won 138 and independents won 14. In two counties, there was no candidate for one of the county commissioner seats.

Republicans flipped Bay County (from 4-3 Dem to 6-1 GOP), Gogebic (from 6-1 Dem to 4-3 GOP), and Keweenaw (3-1-1 Dem to 3-1-1 GOP). It was a similar dynamic in Presque Isle County. It was 2-2 with one independent. Now it’s 4-0 with one independent.

Democrats lost the majority in Ontonagon Co. in the U.P. They had a 3-1-1 majority prior to the election. Now, it’s split 2-2 with one independent.

The Democrats appear to have won a 6-1 majority in Leelanau County, but there are some election snafus being investigated. Prior to the election, it was 3-3 with one vacancy.

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Question: A plethora of commentary, both nationwide and in Michigan, has noted the inroads Donald Trump has made into the “white working class,” historically a Democratic constituency.  This was partly responsible for this year’s record-high turnout, which saw an uptick in first-time voters. Is there anything to account for this beyond pocket-book issues and inflation and “affordability?”

Answer: It would seem so. Two recent articles by obscure political analysts in distant states in little-read publications should get some attention — Brandon McGinley, the editorial page editor of The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette who wrote an article entitled “Why Trump Will Win” just before the election, and Roge Karma, who penned “America’s Class Politics Have Turned Upside Down” in the Atlantic magazine.

McGinley opines that “As a rule, Americans dislike hierarchy. And even if they accept that some form of hierarchy is inevitable, Americans really don’t like it when people of status lord it over those without status. It’s a sentiment that goes back to the revolution itself, and is enshrined in the Constitution’s ban on ‘titles of nobility.’”

McGinley goes on to point out that titles of nobility are more prominent today than at any time in U.S. history, and those who carry them are more careless than ever about how they wield them. What titles? Ph.D. Ed.D. MD. JD. Professor. Bylines in media. Credits in film. Secretary of this, Director of that.

There’s nothing new about a de facto American nobility, McGinley observes, but what IS new is that they’re almost all on the same political team: the Democratic Party. And most of those who aren’t Democrats are anti-Trump, he says.

What’s also new is that they cannot shut up about how they deserve their nobility and to be in charge — and how anybody who questions them hates science, truth, and democracy.

McGinley argues that “The modern American nobility of academic and corporate and government credentialed elites, just like all the aristocracies through history, doesn’t think “those people” are worthy, let alone capable, of self-government. And “those people” see this, and they don’t care for it.

So every time that nobility calls them fascist for opposing them, “those people” are further confirmed in their desire to unseat them.

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Filed Under: Uncategorized

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Reader says

    November 10, 2024 at 5:58 pm

    There are some mistakes here, Bill.

    Trump won white, suburban women nationwide with 53%. In Michigan, Trump won 51% of white women and 54% of women who aren’t white or black.

    In Minnesota, Democrats lost control of the lower chamber. Yes, as of now, it’s a tie between Republicans and DFL (Democrats) but it’s not wholly true to say Michigan was the only state where Democrats lost a legislative chamber.

    I don’t know how the editorial page editor of a major newspaper in the most important battleground state is an obscure political analyst.

    The missed storylines in Michigan are the approximately 1.3 million Trump voters who didn’t vote for the Republican Supreme Court candidates. Or the huge Republican gains in Genesee County. I bet Republicans wish they had ran credible candidates for countywide office in Genesee, Saginaw and Bay counties. Jim Barcia probably would have lost the Bay County executive race had the GOP nominated a credible candidate. Add Marquette County to that list. And in Traverse City, I bet Democrats wish they had ran Democrats for the countywide offices in Grand Traverse.

    Reply
    • Leanne says

      November 10, 2024 at 7:24 pm

      There are no “Republican Supreme Court candidates” – that is the problem. It is a non-partisan ballot.

      A couple of weeks ago, a citizen came into the county GOP office and asked us who to vote for in the judicial races. He wanted to vote Republican but did not know who those candidates were.

      This hurt both Andrew Fink and Sean O’Grady in their respective candidacies.

      Reply
      • Stephanie says

        November 11, 2024 at 12:54 am

        You are correct but the Supreme Court candidates were identified as Republican or Democrat in MANY news sources. If you do a generic search for Michigan Supreme Court candidates in 2024, you’ll see it in the several lines on the search page and you don’t even have to read the actual articles. Here are snippet from Ballotpedia and the Lansing State Journal.

        Ballotpedia:
        “Michigan Supreme Court elections will determine whether Democrats or Republicans control the Court
        With 27 days to go until the Fall election, we’ll be bringing you coverage of the most compelling elections — the battlegrounds we expect to have a meaningful effect on the balance of power in governments or to be particularly competitive. You can catch our previous coverage of other battleground races here.

        Today, we’re looking at the general elections for Michigan’s Supreme Court on Nov. 5. Four candidates are running for two seats on the Court. In one election, Andrew Fink and Kimberly Thomas are running for a full eight-year term for the seat currently held by incumbent David Viviano (R), who is not running for re-election. In the other, incumbent Kyra Harris Bolden and Patrick W. O’Grady are running in a special election to serve the remainder of Bridget Mary McCormack’s term, which ends in 2028. McCormack retired in 2022 with six years left in her term.

        In Michigan, supreme court justices are selected using the Michigan method, in which voters elect justices in nonpartisan elections, though candidates in the nonpartisan elections are chosen through partisan primaries or conventions. Michigan is the only state that uses this selection method. Thomas and Harris Bolden are affiliated with the Democratic Party, and Fink and O’Grady are affiliated with the Republican Party.

        According to the Associated Press, “Democratic-backed justices currently hold a 4-3 majority. Republican victories in both races would flip control of the Court, while two Democratic wins would yield a 5-2 supermajority. Republicans have framed the races as a fight to stop government overreach, while Democrats say it is a battle to preserve reproductive rights.”

        Lansing State Journal
        “ Michigan Supreme Court (vote for 2)

        Democratic nominees: Kyra Harris Bolden, Kimberly Ann Thomas

        Republican nominees: Patrick O’Grady, Andrew Fink

        Story:4 candidates vying for 2 seats on Michigan Supreme Court in the Nov. 5 election”

        Also, in the State Journal, an from the Detroit Free Press by Arian Lobo
        “. . . Running for a partial, four-year term on the bench are incumbent Justice Kyra Harris Bolden, backed by Democrats to complete the remainder of her term after she was appointed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer to the bench last year, and Branch County Circuit Judge Patrick William O’Grady, nominated by Republicans.

        And running for a full eight-year term are Kimberly Ann Thomas, a law professor and director of the Juvenile Justice Clinic at the University of Michigan, backed by Democrats, and state Rep. Andrew Fink, a Republican from Hillsdale. The seat became open after Justice David Viviano, nominated by Republicans, announced earlier this year he wouldn’t seek reelection.

        While the races appear on the nonpartisan section of the ballot, candidates must be nominated by a political party to qualify. Additionally, a straight-ticket vote will not cover the Supreme Court elections.

        The Michigan Supreme Court is the state’s highest court, tasked with ruling on and resolving disputed rulings from lower state courts.”

        Reply
    • 10x25mm says

      November 11, 2024 at 1:14 pm

      You have to go back to 2012 to find less falloff from the Presidential ballot to the State Supreme Court ballot. The total falloff on November 5th was in the vicinity of 1.4 million. The comparable falloff was 1.85 million in 2020, 1.44 million in 2016, and 1.20 million in 2012.

      There is a good possibility that the intense politicking for President is crowding out the Supreme Court candidates in the public mind. Also, very little Michigan Supreme Court politicking was geared towards ESL and young male voters, who were major components of Trump’s victory in Michigan.

      Reply
    • Mark A. White says

      November 11, 2024 at 1:33 pm

      Sexism & racism in voters here in Flint Township in Genesee County is overwhelming. Voters here for past 35 years have strongly leaned female; and this DEMOCRATIC PARTY primary voters here were strongly against white males. I believe this township’s primary maximum has been 3% of all registered voters but this time it was about 16.5%. And of that 16.5% it we guess-estimate by deduction and poll observations 69% of the Democratic Party primary was black voters. Yet black population in this Township is only about 33%. White males here too often are the group that don’t vote. So lets get out that vote before we’re not represented in Flint Township elected Board of Trustees. Here one white male is on seven member Board of Trustees and holds the Treasurer position as an incumbent.

      Reply
  2. Jack Lessenberry says

    November 10, 2024 at 6:03 pm

    As usual, Bill Ballenger is the master of the crystal ball. I didn’t see this coming, but should have, Kudos!

    Reply
    • Tim Sullivan says

      November 10, 2024 at 6:43 pm

      It was not in a crystal ball, but it was in the ads.

      In Pennsylvania, about 3 weeks ago Bobby Casey started running ads saying how he sided with Trump’s position over Biden’s. Same with Baldwin in Wisconsin and Slotkin began running more bipartisan ads (her work for both Bush the Younger and Obama) here.

      Though it’s been nearly 5 decades since I took poli sci classes at U of M and Eastern, that tells me their polls told them who was winning and who was not. Baldwin and Slotkin apparently switched their ad content soon enough. Not so Casey.

      Reply
    • Manuela Garza says

      November 16, 2024 at 12:54 pm

      Absolutely agree. Bill Ballenger called it right.

      Ed Sarpolus did not think that the Arab-American vote was important in the election but the numbers he cites as vote totals make a strong case that it certainly may have.

      Also, the significance of Dr. Jill Stein as a factor he rightfully mentioned.

      Lastly, the shift of youth vote to Trump this election was something that no one expected.

      Reply
  3. John Stewart says

    November 10, 2024 at 6:19 pm

    WOW. I’m impressed with your modesty. Last Sunday night, you posted “why Trump should win”. Cost of Living, auto workers dislike for the PUSH to EV’s, cultural issues and 77,000 Dems stayed home.
    Anyone willing to offer their idea on who will win Gov./Lt. Gov. in Michigan in 2026 ? I’m suggesting Hoekstra with a Lt. Gov. candidate from SE Michigan ! I was in Suburban Showcase for 4 hours this past Tuesday night. Moderately-conservative Republicans are coming back.

    Reply
    • Leanne says

      November 10, 2024 at 9:29 pm

      For governor in 2026 Mike Rogers, Lt Gov. Tudor Dixon.

      Hoekstra was soundly defeated last time he ran for statewide office. Let him continue as MIGOP chair.

      Reply
    • Leanne says

      November 16, 2024 at 5:39 pm

      It also bears mentioning I was at the Suburban Collection Showplace in Novi on Tuesday, November 5th (Election Night) and it was gratifying to see all those who worked hard to see the GOP pull off victories.

      Although many cheered the big lead Mike Rogers had – by SIX POINTS – over Slotkin, experienced observers knew it was a close race as Wayne County returns are often not counted until the wee hours of the next morning so when Mike rogers was declared the loser the next day no real surprise to us experienced campaigners.

      Reply
  4. Tim Sullivan says

    November 10, 2024 at 6:37 pm

    Nice article, Bill and spot on commentary.

    The vote tallies in Dearborn, Dearborn Hts., and Hamtramck are quite instructive. I’m sure NO ONE in the Michigan Democratic Party saw that one coming. Though Harris did real well in Washtenaw County, but for the most part, her vote percentages in the remaining counties was lower than Biden’s in 2020. I suspect your last answer quoting Mr. McGinley is on target.

    The fact the GOP was being outspent better than 3 – 1 in the state House races and still won a majority is almost miraculous. Imagine if the donor class had decided to loosen up their purse strings. The fact they didn’t, and the GOP did as well as they did, should scare the donor class. These incoming state reps will most likely be much more Trumpian and less establishment than before.

    On the Senate race, both sides should feel pretty good. The Democrats should be happy. Slotkin won. The GOP should be happy (or at least less sad) because Rogers finished about 3/10 of a percentage point behind. The two previous races (both with John James running) were within single digits. Of the monies raised by both individually, Slotkin raised over $40,000,000 and Rogers a bit over $8,000,000 (not quite 5 – 1) and outside PAC money was a wee bit higher for Rogers than Slotkin. In Rogers’ case, this is good, especially for someone who spent some time in Florida prior to the election. Should make Gary Peters’ next run very interesting.

    You’re right on the college Boards and State Board. There is a problem in politics when you reject the good or acceptable in pursuit of the perfect. This means you’ll lose. Just don’t cry in MY beer.

    Reply
    • Mark M. Koroi says

      November 11, 2024 at 12:26 am

      Sevag Vartanian and Julie Maday campaigned for their respective seats on university boards as concerned parents seeking to advance students’ interests and won the respect of GOP convention delegates.

      Perhaps not accurately, Dan Kelly was painted as a trustee that was part of the overall Larry Nasser mess that engulfed MSU. He actually did not assume his trustee seat until Nasser had already been arrested – and he undoubtedly worked hard to lead MSU’s board in the wake of several scandals. Nevertheless, Flint MIGOP convention delegates in August chose Mike Balow and Julie Maday over Kelly. Balow was endorsed by a group of Larry Nasser victims’ families and was almost elected as a trustee in 2022.

      Kelly had been respected enough by the Democrat-dominated MSU Board of Trustees to be chosen as its chairman.

      Ron Weiser was opposed largely by GOP outsiders who did not like his leadership of MIGOP when he was chairman.

      Reply
  5. Leanne says

    November 10, 2024 at 6:52 pm

    The Associated Press has reported that the MSU Board of Trustees race involving GOP nominee Julie Maday and Democratic nominee Rebecca Bahar-Cook remains too close to call as of 1:00 p.m., November 10th.

    Bahar-Cook leads Maday by one-tenth of 1% of the votes with 99% of the statewide votes counted.

    For the University of Michigan Board of Regents race, you did not point out that Shauna Ryder-Diggs lost in the general election despite winning a highly controversial Michigan Democratic Party convention election that resulted in rival candidate Huwaida Arraf suing the Michigan Democratic Party for alleged election irregularities.

    Carl Meyer, who ran and lost previous elections as a Republican Party nominee, will be seated as a regent this January after being the top vote-getter in the U-M Board of Regents race. Carl is a Dearborn native.

    Reply
    • Mark Koroi says

      November 16, 2024 at 1:38 am

      As of today, the MSU board race has not yet been called.

      Overseas voters and Calhoun County uncounted ballots nuber in the thousands – but Maday is behind by about 7,000 votes statewide.

      Reply
  6. Royal says

    November 10, 2024 at 9:36 pm

    Bill, great prognosticating last week. Super analysis this week.

    Ceasar (one party rule) is dead; the Empress (Whitmer) lives; the Queen (Slotkin) lives; God save the Empire, the Empress and the Queen!

    Nice to see the never-Trumpers muted (even if sitting on their $$), and Michigan joining her sister states in the League of (shattered Blue) Wall States.

    Reply
    • Royal says

      November 11, 2024 at 3:56 pm

      I just saw Rep Lisa McClain will seek the Republican Conference Chair that Rep Stefanik is vacating. Godspeed Rep McClain!

      Reply
  7. Jerome Dallas Winegarden Jr says

    November 11, 2024 at 7:56 am

    Bottom Line Bill did one Fantastic Job !
    The Limousine Liberals failed to realize that
    The Lunch box economic issues in our current
    Society out weigh the Credibility issues of our
    President Elect .Inflation and price gouging
    Have Trumped Morality ,Equal protection of the Law and Democracy as we used to know it!
    Hopefully our political process will survive . Biden should have Stepped away before the primary season . That’s the Bottom Line!

    Reply
  8. dan murphy says

    November 11, 2024 at 3:43 pm

    Former President Obama in an electoral victory speech ,previously heralded the “fundamental transformation ” of the Constitution and of the national culture was in progress. Recent electoral results however reveal that He was only partially correct . The Democratic Party appears to have been the Entity which has been transformed .Progressive , Hierarchical elitism and ideology has taken control .The Party appears to have lost the “middle-working class” foundation which once guided its politics. The Electorate has soundly rejected this Party transformation. As Mr . Ginley is quoted above ,”de facto American nobility and the Democratic Party are almost on the same political team”. Elites, like Aristocracies throughout history, don’t think People are worthy nor capable of self government “. The 2024 election has disproved Elitist’s thought !

    Reply
    • Manuela Garza says

      November 16, 2024 at 11:26 am

      Agreed.

      Party elitists have run the Democratic National Committee and even the Michigan Democratic Party hierarchy. The recent announcement of Lavora Barnes of her retirement from the chairmanship of the Michigan Democratic Party is a step in the right direction.

      We can only hope that the upcoming Michigan Democratic Convention will result in the election of a chairperson that represents ALL Democrats.

      The “Uncommitted” movement that ultimately resulted in the creation of the “Abandon Harris” movement was a stark reminder that blind obedience to party leadership will result in old guard Democrats being defeated in November by dissidents who are guided by conscience.

      Reply
  9. John Stewart says

    November 11, 2024 at 8:06 pm

    Correction Leanne et al
    Pete Hoekstra came in a strong 2nd to Rick Snyder in the 2010 Republican Primary for Governor- including in Wayne County. HARD FACT

    Reply
    • Mark M Koroi says

      November 14, 2024 at 7:25 pm

      In 2010, Hoekstra finished 10% behind Snyder in the August primary and in a virtual second place tie with Mike Cox.

      Snyder had a massive ad blitz from his campaign commence two weeks prior to the August 2010 primary election that erased a polling deficit and propelled him into the governor’s office.

      Reply
  10. Mark M Koroi says

    November 14, 2024 at 10:57 pm

    Ten days after the Donald Trump landslide victory – and a stunning campaign victory in the Great Lake State – Michigan Democratic Party chair Lavora Barnes announces she will be stepping down from her post.

    U.S. District Court Judge Jane Beckering is currently presiding over a civil rights suit filed by Arab-American Huwaida Arraf over her failed candidacy at the Lansing MDP convention where Arraf ran for the University of Michigan Board of Regents seat nomination. Miller Canfield law firm is defending the MDP and two other defendants leading the Dems state party organization – one being Ms. Barnes.

    Barnes’ announcement leaves an imminent power vacuum within the Michigan Democrats organization and speculation abounds that progressives will try to install a left-wing chairperson to succeed Barnes. Possible successors include Ms. Arraf.

    Reply
    • Manuela Garza says

      November 16, 2024 at 12:46 pm

      The is an clique of state convention delegates right now who are progressive-oriented who want to take control of the leadership of the MDP state party organization at the next convention. They see gross incompetence and infighting that has damaged party goals and interests.

      They believe that the Michigan Democratic Party’s blind support of Biden and Harris cost the party down-ticket and resulted in races that the Dems should have won that flipped to Republican. Well-financed Curtis Hertel lost the MI-07 seat to Tom Barrett – a right-wing Republican that Slotkin previously easily defeated for her Congress seat.

      Reply
  11. Manuela Garza says

    November 16, 2024 at 12:37 pm

    Layla Elabed – a co-founder of the “Uncommitted” movement – was able to rake in 133,000 votes as uncommitted in the Michigan presidential Democratic primary as a protest against Kamala Harris and her lukewarm positions on the Gaza crisis.

    Who is Layla Elabed? – the sister of Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib.

    VP Harris loses Michigan in the general election by 80,000 votes to Donald Trump.

    It is very plausible that the Uncommitted movement in Michigan resulted in the loss of Michigan’s electoral votes to Donald Trump.

    Mike Rogers – who did not campaign in Dearborn or make any significant outreach to Michigan’s Arab-American community – lost by a mere 20,000 votes in his campaign as GOP nominee to a U.S. Senate seat – so a 100,000 vote shift in the two races. Kamala’s indifferent attitude toward the suffering in Gaza was the difference in Michigan. Trump’s campaign wisely had him address the Middle East crisis in both Hamtramck and Dearborn.

    Reply
    • Leanne says

      November 16, 2024 at 5:27 pm

      Nice story from the Guardian newspaper in Great Britain who interviewed Macomb GOP Chairman Mark Forton and MIGOP Outreach Vice-Chairperson Rola Makki describing their respective roles in a successful Trump campaign in Michigan.

      The article was critical of Democrats for not calling out the GOP in some of the party’s claims.

      My personal opinion on Mike Rogers – I did not see him campaigning at all even though I showed up at many GOP events – until Election Night in November when he and his wife showed up in Novi declaring that his race would not be decided until the next day.
      I did not hear of him campaigning with Trump, and I thought that hurt his chances in otherwise was a good showing by him on Election Day..

      Reply
  12. William Frantz Jr. says

    November 19, 2024 at 2:43 pm

    (Edit)

    Bill IS a GENIUS! But…the DEMS and their campaign heads were clearly IDIOTS, and cost their party a lot more than everyone but Bill thought possible! They nearly RUINED our nation the last 4 years, we NEED Trump to fix all they messed up! YOU GO, BILL!!!

    Reply

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