NEW NATIONAL POLL: Plurality Support for Republican Tax Cut

New Morning Consult/POLITICO Poll:

44% Of Voters Support GOP Tax Bill

Support for GOP Tax Bill Could Impact Re-Election Bids

WASHINGTON (December 19, 2017) – With Congress set to vote on the GOP tax bill this afternoon, a new poll from Morning Consult and POLITICO finds a plurality of voters support the final bill.

FULL RESULTS

The survey was conducted Dec. 14-18 among 1,991 registered voters and has a margin of error of +- 2 percentage points.

Key findings include:

Plurality support for final GOP tax bill: When asked whether they support the final tax bill, 44% of voters indicated they supported the bill, compared to 35% who say they oppose it.

• Support is strong among Republicans (72%), compared to 37% of Independents and 27% of Democrats

Support for GOP tax bill could impact re-election bids: When asked whether they would vote to re-elect their Congressional representatives if they vote for the tax bill:

• 21% of voters say they are much less likely to vote to re-elect /11% somewhat less likely
• 17% say they are somewhat more likely to re-elect/15% much more likely
• 14% say it would make no difference
• 22% say they have no opinion

One-third of voters say their taxes will increase if tax bill passes: 33% of voters say their taxes will increase if the tax bill is passed, compared to 20% who say they will decrease (25% of voters say the amount of taxes they pay will stay the same).

• Democrats (46%) are more likely to say their taxes will increase, compared to 21% of Republicans

Voters say the tax bill benefits corporations and high-income families: Voters were asked their thoughts on who the tax bill would help/hurt if it passed:

• Corporations – 67% help/7% hurt
• High income families – 61% help/9% hurt
• Small business – 49% help/23% hurt
• U.S. economy – 42% help/26% hurt
• Job creation – 41% help/20% hurt
• Middle income families – 40% help/33% hurt
• People like them – 35% help/33% hurt
• Low income families – 36% help/35% hurt

The full results are also available at morningconsult.com

Any references to the survey must be credited and linked back to Morning Consult/POLITICO.

Questions or requests can be directed to anthony@morningconsult.com or 347-422-3105.

Methodology:
This poll was conducted from Dec. 14-18, 2017, among a national sample of 1,991 registered voters. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.